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You're right, it's not a singing contest, it's an "idol" contest: Who can be interesting enough to get the votes? Sometimes being able to sing well helps get more votes and sometimes it's simply who is the most likeable.
I have to say I was REALLY surprised that Carly was in the bottom 3. Kristi has been in the bottom 3 for the past 2 weeks, so that was no surprise.
I think Kristy will "fit in" with the other 9 on tour better than Amanda. She will also have a chance to get better by touring, but I don't think she'll last more than 2 more weeks in the current show.
On a side note, I thought Kelly Pickler did a very decent performance tonight. I wasn't expecting that she had improved as much as she did.